Sarmiento La Banda vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
3º
2º
15
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 0
SAR
49%
28%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 1
SAR
57%
26%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAR
69%
21%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
SMA
28%
29%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 3
SMA
30%
30%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
CDN
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
JAN
48%
28%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDN
2 - 0
SOL
44%
29%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
CDN
27%
27%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |