Sariyer vs Kepez Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
10º
10º
5
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 60 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 51 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 47 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 46 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 45 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 43 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 42 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 30 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
20% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sariyer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
INE
0 - 0
SAR
44%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
AAF
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
KEC
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
USA
0 - 5
SAR
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
ISK
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Kepez Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KEP
0 - 0
ALT
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AFK
1 - 0
KEP
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GUM
2 - 4
KEP
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KEP
2 - 3
AYV
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MBB
0 - 1
KEP
24%
25%
52%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |