Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-3
Sariñena vs L´Hospitalet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sariñena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SAR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SAR
1 - 0
SAB
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1977 |
HOS
2 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LOG
1 - 0
SAR
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
SAR
3 - 0
CAN
70%
16%
13%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
HOS
2 - 1
BAD
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
EUR
3 - 2
HOS
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1977 |
HOS
2 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
HOS
2 - 4
GIM
36%
34%
30%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
OLI
1 - 1
HOS
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | -1 |