Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Sariñena vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sariñena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZAR
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 1
SAR
12%
21%
67%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 1
BEL
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
BIN
1 - 0
SAR
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 1
ROB
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
MUL
0 - 3
LOR
17%
23%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 1
MAZ
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 3
LOR
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 0
UDL
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 1
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |