USM Saran vs FCO Tourangeau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AMI
3 - 0
SAR
19%
20%
61%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 3
VIE
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAR
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 0
DEO
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAR
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FCO Tourangeau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TOU
0 - 1
CHA
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TOU
2 - 1
ORL
37%
23%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAI
4 - 2
TOU
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CSL
0 - 2
TOU
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TOU
0 - 2
AMI
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |