USM Saran vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
61%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
12º
45
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
IVR
5 - 0
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAS
24%
21%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STG
0 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
VTR
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SML
0 - 0
BAS
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STG
1 - 0
SML
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SML
2 - 0
VTR
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
SML
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SML
1 - 0
BRE
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |