USM Saran vs Mainvilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
12º
16
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 1
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
MFC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SML
1 - 5
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
IVR
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 2
SAR
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mainvilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 0
BAS
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STG
1 - 0
MAI
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 1
VTR
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
MAI
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 1
BRE
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |