USM Saran vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
12º
34
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 2
SAR
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
STG
17%
21%
63%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IVR
2 - 1
BAS
34%
23%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
STG
1 - 0
IVR
76%
17%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VTR
2 - 2
IVR
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 1
IVR
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
NEU
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |