USM Saran vs Châteauneuf-sur-Loire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 3
TOU
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 2
BOU
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
SAR
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 0
ORL
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CSL
0 - 0
MON
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 1
CSL
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CSL
1 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
5 - 1
CSL
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CSL
1 - 2
AVO
22%
22%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |