USM Saran vs Chartres II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
9º
9º
20
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 0
SAR
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 3
TOU
8%
18%
75%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ORL
3 - 0
SAR
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
SAR
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
SAI
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chartres II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAI
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
TOU
17%
18%
64%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
48%
22%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AVO
1 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |