USM Saran vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
SAR
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 0
ORL
42%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TOU
0 - 0
SAR
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 3
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
SAR
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 0
TOU
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOU
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BOU
2 - 0
CSL
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 3
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ORL
2 - 1
BOU
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |