USM Saran vs Bourges Foot 18 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
9º
9º
31
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
CHA
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 4
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AVO
0 - 2
SAR
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 2
SAR
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bourges Foot 18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHA
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 2
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSL
1 - 2
BOU
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 2
SAR
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |