USM Saran vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
12º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STG
0 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
VTR
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
4 - 3
CHA
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
AVO
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TOU
3 - 1
SAR
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAE
2 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOU
5 - 3
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |