USM Saran vs Montlouis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
SAR
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
AVO
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VIE
3 - 1
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 0
DRO
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 2
TOU
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
TOU
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
MON
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 3
BOU
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
MON
28%
22%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MON
5 - 4
MON
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |