USM Saran vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
12º
33
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAS
24%
21%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STG
0 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
VTR
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
4 - 3
CHA
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
AVO
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
ORL
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
MAI
90%
8%
3%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
CAN
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RSV
4 - 0
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |