Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
10º
4º
76
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
SAR
14%
23%
63%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
VEL
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 2
SAR
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
POS
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
SLO
74%
17%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
0 - 1
POS
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 1
LAS
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
5 - 3
ZBE
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
ZRI
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
GOS
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |