Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
12º
4º
78
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
4 - 0
SAR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
MIN
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 0
SAR
16%
26%
58%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 0
SAR
18%
27%
55%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 0
LAK
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JAD
1 - 2
ZRI
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
GOS
0 - 1
ZRI
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 1
ZMO
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 0
BBL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |