Sarajevo vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
DRI
0 - 5
SAR
13%
26%
62%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 0
SIR
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 2
SAR
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZEL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 2
SAR
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLA
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
ČEL
1 - 0
VEL
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
DRI
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SIR
4 - 1
VEL
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |