Sarajevo vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 0
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
6 - 1
TRA
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SIR
1 - 1
SAR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZVI
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
BBL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 0
BBL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 2
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 0
ORA
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ZRI
2 - 1
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
3 - 1
ČEL
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |