Europa League 1/32
Global 6-4
Sarajevo vs Slavia Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
SSO
2 - 2
SAR
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SAR
3 - 3
HSV
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HSV
4 - 2
SAR
93%
5%
2%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1967 |
MUD
2 - 1
SAR
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
SAR
0 - 0
MUD
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1982 |
SVA
1 - 0
SSO
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
SSO
2 - 2
SAR
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1982 |
SSO
6 - 2
ETA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
SSO
0 - 1
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
BEL
2 - 1
SSO
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |