Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
2º
2º
10
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 47 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 42 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 39 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 38 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 33 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 22 |
10º
|
49% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 15 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
12º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
51% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
GOS
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
SLO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TNV
3 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
TNV
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Radnik Bijeljina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 3
VEL
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
SIR
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
RAD
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
SLO
26%
24%
49%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
RUD
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |