Europa League 1/32
Global 5-7
Sarajevo vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HSV
4 - 2
SAR
93%
5%
2%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1967 |
MUD
2 - 1
SAR
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
SAR
0 - 0
MUD
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
SAR
3 - 1
OLY
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
OLY
2 - 2
SAR
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
BYM
2 - 1
HSV
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
HSV
2 - 1
KFC
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HSV
4 - 2
SAR
93%
5%
2%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
MON
2 - 2
HSV
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
HSV
3 - 1
EIN
72%
16%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |