Qualif. Champions Segunda fase Final
Global 2-2
Sarajevo vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
SAR
4 - 1
ORA
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 2
SAR
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2007 |
SAR
3 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 6
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
SAR
5 - 0
RAD
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
GNK
3 - 1
CER
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2007 |
GNK
1 - 2
SAR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
RWD
3 - 1
GNK
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
GNK
0 - 2
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
LOK
0 - 1
GNK
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |