Europa League 1/32
Global 1-8
Sarajevo vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 2
SIR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TRA
1 - 0
SAR
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
DYN
3 - 0
SAR
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 2
SAR
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 9
BAS
7%
14%
80%
|
84 | 27 | 57 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
MAT
0 - 4
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 4
BAS
19%
22%
60%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 0
BAS
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |