Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Sarajevo vs FC Urartu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 2
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
SAR
4 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ZEL
2 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAR
4 - 1
ZRI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
KRU
2 - 3
SAR
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Urartu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 2
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
NEM
1 - 1
BAN
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
TAM
9 - 0
BAN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GAN
1 - 1
BAN
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |