Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-5
Sapucaiense vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
URS
2 - 3
SAP
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAP
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAP
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
4 - 1
PAU
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
COM
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
PPE
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
ITU
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |