Sapucaiense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
ECS
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
YPI
3 - 1
SAP
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAP
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 2
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
VER
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
74%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
YPI
82%
14%
5%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
VER
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | +1 |