Sapucaiense vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
ECA
2 - 2
SAP
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SCI
4 - 0
SAP
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 1
ISM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAP
76%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ISM
2 - 0
SAP
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 2
YPI
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAX
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ECS
2 - 3
ESP
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
SLU
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |