Sapovnela vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapovnela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CHK
0 - 5
SAP
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SAP
1 - 0
SHU
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 0
SAP
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SAP
2 - 3
GUR
25%
22%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 1
SAP
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
GAG
4 - 1
SKU
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CHK
0 - 0
GAG
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
5 - 2
MER
76%
15%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GAG
1 - 1
MET
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
SHU
2 - 2
GAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |