Sapovnela II vs Margveti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sapovnela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
SAP
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
SAP
2 - 0
SAM
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
KOL
4 - 0
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -3 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
SAP
2 - 0
RAC
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
SHU
8 - 2
SAP
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Margveti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
MER
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
KOL
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 3
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
LAZ
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
MAR
12%
18%
71%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | -1 |