São Paulo U20 vs Juventude U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
4 - 0
AME
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAO
6%
14%
80%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
PIC
0 - 7
SAO
9%
13%
78%
|
40 | 5 | 35 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 0
SBC
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Juventude U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
NOV
21%
19%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
OPE
1 - 0
JUV
20%
23%
57%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
3 - 1
AME
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
COM
0 - 1
JUV
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
AGU
48%
22%
31%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |