São Paulo U20 vs Fortaleza U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
CUI
60%
19%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
AME
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
6 - 3
ATL
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 2
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
GOI
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
CEA
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |