São Paulo U20 vs Bahia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAO
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 3
AME
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 5
PAL
13%
21%
66%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
BAH
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 2
BAH
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 2
ATM
15%
22%
63%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAH
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |