Copa Do Brasil U20 Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
São Paulo U17 vs Fluminense U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
8 - 2
JAC
86%
10%
5%
|
45 | 5 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 4
SPA
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
14 - 0
GSA
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 3
FLA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRI
85%
11%
5%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 2
FLU
6%
12%
82%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
VF4
1 - 5
FLU
6%
12%
82%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
4 - 1
FLU
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |