São Paulo RS vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRU
22%
25%
52%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
BRU
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
XVD
0 - 1
OPE
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 0
XVD
36%
29%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
XVD
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |