São Paulo RS vs Rio Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEL
25%
26%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ECA
1 - 0
SAO
54%
26%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SGA
3 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
ISM
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEB
1 - 1
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
GEB
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAP
0 - 1
RIO
35%
22%
42%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAP
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 3
RIO
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |