São Paulo RS vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
3 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
1 - 1
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAS
0 - 3
SAO
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
5 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
4 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 2
NOV
83%
14%
4%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ECS
3 - 1
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |