São Paulo RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
74.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
ECS
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAO
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
YPI
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
JUV
75%
18%
7%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
VER
77%
17%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 2
GRE
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |