São Paulo RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
65.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
SAO
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LAJ
0 - 1
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
GLO
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAO
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
ECS
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
VER
0 - 1
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
COT
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |