São Paulo RS vs Cruzeiro RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 83 | 41 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 1
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 0
CAX
35%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 0
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 3
CRU
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRU
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |