São Paulo vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 2
CAP
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
FFL
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
XVD
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 1
MOG
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
XVD
0 - 2
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
XVD
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
4 - 1
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |