São Paulo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRI
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAO
19%
24%
58%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
CHA
67%
22%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 2
SAO
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 3
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
COR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |