São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
22%
22%
56%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
VAS
3 - 2
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PPE
3 - 2
VAS
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 3
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |