São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAY
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 2
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRI
72%
16%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
JUV
73%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |