São Paulo vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
AME
1 - 0
SAO
20%
26%
55%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
6 - 1
RIV
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
22%
26%
53%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
5 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 3
UNI
52%
21%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATM
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAL
63%
18%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |