São Paulo vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
REM
0 - 2
SAO
27%
27%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
FLU
2 - 3
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
SAO
0 - 0
SCI
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
SAO
4 - 0
CEA
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 1
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CEA
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
FLU
0 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
SPO
4 - 1
OPE
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 0
SCI
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |