São Paulo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAO
13%
24%
63%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
AGU
82%
14%
5%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
ZEN
4 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
ADS
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
40%
28%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 4
SHA
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |