Série A Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
São Paulo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAO
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 3
VAS
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 2
PPE
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAO
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 3
PPE
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |