Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-1
São Paulo vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
ATM
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAO
22%
26%
52%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CUI
2 - 1
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAO
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 0
SLO
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
PLA
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 2
ARG
45%
29%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
IND
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |