São Paulo vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
AGU
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 2
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 2
AUD
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
RIO
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAP
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
RIO
80%
15%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |